BEHAVIORAL BIAS, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY: DETERMINANTS OF CREDIT ASSESSMENT IN INDONESIA
Main Article Content
Abstract
Credit assessment plays a critical role in maintaining financial stability, particularly in emerging economies like Indonesia, where regional disparities in infrastructure and economic development make consistent credit evaluation difficult. Variability in institutional practices, the integration of information technology (IT), and behavioral biases among analysts contribute to inefficiencies and inaccuracies in credit decision-making. This study investigates the extent to which behavioral biases, economic conditions, and IT adoption influence credit assessment outcomes across Indonesian financial institutions. A cross-sectional online survey was conducted between April and October 2024, involving 454 credit analysts from commercial banks, rural banks, cooperatives, and non-bank financial institutions located in all central provinces of Indonesia. The study employs Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) to test both direct and moderating effects among the variables. The results show that economic conditions have a significant direct impact on credit assessment outcomes with an effect size of 0.486. Information technology also demonstrates a positive, though more negligible, direct effect, with an effect size of 0.137. Behavioral biases do not significantly influence credit assessment directly (p = 0.759), but their effect becomes significant when moderated by economic conditions (interaction effect = -0.217, p < 0.001). Information technology does not significantly moderate this relationship (p = 0.885). The findings indicate that the three predictors can explain 59.7% of the variance in credit assessment. These results emphasize the dominant role of economic context and technology over cognitive biases in determining credit evaluation outcomes across Indonesia's financial institutions.
JEL Classification Codes: G21, D81, G32.
Downloads
Article Details
Section

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
How to Cite
References
Amaro, S., Seabra, C., & Abrantes, J. L. (2015). Comparing CB-SEM and PLS-SEM Results : An empirical example. https://doi.org/10.3990/2.357
Altdorfer, M., Guettler, A., & Loffler, G. (2024). Analyst distance and credit rating consistency. Journal of International Money and Finance, 143, 103055. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103055
Addy, W. A., Ajayi-Nifise, A. O., Bello, B. G., Tula, S. T., Odeyemi, O., & Falaiye, T. (2024). AI in credit scoring: A comprehensive review of models and predictive analytics. Global Journal of Engineering and Technology Advances, 18(2), 118–129. https://doi.org/10.30574/gjeta.2024.18.2.0029
Angelo, E. D., Mustilli, M., & Piccolo, R. (2018). Is the Lending Decision-Making Process Affected by Behavioral Biases ? Modern Economy, 9(1), 160–173. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2018.91010
Azouzi, M. A., & Bacha, S. (2023). Do behavioral biases affect credit risk assessment methods?. Interdisciplinary Journal of Management Studies (Formerly known as Iranian Journal of Management Studies), 16(2), 501–514. https://doi.org/10.22059/IJMS.2022.326105.674613
Baker, H. K., Kumar, S., & Singh, H. P. (2018). Behavioural biases among SME owners. International Journal of Management Practice, 11(3), 259–283. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJMP.2018.092867
Basile, R., Giallonardo, L., Girardi, A., & Mantegazzi, D. (2024). Access to credit and economic complexity: Evidence from Italian provinces. Journal of Regional Science, 64(4), 1183–1204. https://doi.org/10.1111/jors.12698
Baskara, I. G. K., Salim, U., & Djazuli, A. (2016). Borrower characteristics and relationship lending on lending decision making: a survey of literature. Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences, 60(12), 199–208. https://doi.org/10.18551/rjoas.2016-12.25
Branzoli, N., Rainone, E., & Supino, I. (2024). The role of banks’ technology adoption in credit markets during the pandemic. Journal of Financial Stability, 71, 101230. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101230
Brotcke, L. (2022). Time to Assess Bias in Machine Learning Models for Credit Decisions. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(4), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15040165
da Silva, M. F., & Soares, R. O. (2023). Are financially sophisticated CEOs more efficient investors? Revista Contabilidade e Financas, 34(93), 2–19. https://doi.org/10.1590/1808-057X20231914.EN
De Lange, P. E., Melsom, B., Vennerød, C. B., & Westgaard, S. (2022). Explainable AI for credit assessment in banks. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(12), 556. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15120556
Edunjobi, T. E., & Odejide, O. A. (2024). Theoretical frameworks in AI for credit risk assessment: Towards banking efficiency and accuracy. International Journal of Scientific Research Updates, 7(1), 92–102. https://doi.org/10.53430/ijsru.2024.7.1.0030
Farooq, U., Ahmed, J., Akhter, W., & Tabash, M. I. (2022). Environmental regulations and trade credit activities of corporate sector: A new panel data evidence. Journal of Cleaner Production, 363, 132307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.132307
Hair, J. F., Risher, J. J., Sarstedt, M., & Ringle, C. M. (2019). When to use and how to report the results of PLS-SEM. European Business Review, 31(1), 2–24. https://doi.org/10.1108/EBR-11-2018-0203
Hamid, F. S. (2025). Behavioral biases and over-indebtedness in consumer credit : evidence from Malaysia Behavioral biases and over-indebtedness in consumer credit : evidence from Malaysia. Cogent Economics & Finance, 13(1), 2449191. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2449191
Hayes, A. F. (2022). Introduction to Mediation, Moderation, and Conditional Process Analysis: A Regression-Based Approach (Third). Guilford Press.
Heaven, W. D. (2022). Bias isn't the only problem with credit scores And no, AI can't help. In Ethics of data and analytics (pp. 300–302). Auerbach Publications. Retrieved from https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.1201/9781003278290-45/bias-isn-problem-credit-scores%E2%80%94and-ai-help-douglas-heaven
Hurlin, C., Pérignon, C., & Saurin, S. (2024). The fairness of credit scoring models. Management Science. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.03888
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 47(2), 263-291. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1914185
Kisten, M., & Khosa, M. (2024). Enhancing Fairness in Credit Assessment : Mitigation Strategies and Implementation. IEEE Access, 12(October), 177277–177284. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2024.3505836
Klein, A. (2020). Reducing Bias in AI-based financial services.
Litty, A. (2024). Beyond Traditional Credit Scoring : Developing AI-Powered Credit Risk Assessment Models Incorporating Alternative Data Sources Beyond Traditional Credit Scoring : Developing AI-Powered Credit Risk Assessment Models Incorporating Alternative Data Sources. EasyChair, 14332.
Makfiroh, L., & Annisa, A. A. (2022). Faktor determinan volume pembiayaan perbankan syariah dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi sebagai variabel moderasi. 2(2), 88–103. https://doi.org/10.53088/jerps.v2i2.77
Mhlanga, D. (2021). Artificial intelligence in the industry 4.0, and its impact on poverty, innovation, infrastructure development, and the sustainable development goals: Lessons from emerging economies? Sustainability, 13(11), 5788. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13115788
Nwaimo, C. S., Adegbola, A. E., & Adegbola, M. D. (2024). Predictive analytics for financial inclusion : Using machine learning to improve credit access for under banked populations. 5(6), 1358–1373. https://doi.org/10.51594/csitrj.v5i6.1201
Paravisini, D., & Schoar, A. (2013). The incentive effect of scores: Randomized evidence from credit committees (No. w19303). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.09.024
Pompian, M. M. (2021). Behavioral Finance and Your Portfolio: A Navigation Guide For Building Wealth. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Putra, A. M. (2018). Pengaruh Inflasi, PDB, dan Suku Bunga Kredit Terhadap Penyaluran Kredit Bank Umum Di Indonesia (2007-2016).
Ridha, I., Dwiyanti, I., Febdillah, R., Marsya, R., Syirad, S., Tika, T., & Widiriyani, U. (2023). Evaluasi Kinerja Bank dalam Penyaluran Kredit Kepada Usaha Kecil Dan Menengah (UKM). Jurnal Nuansa : Publikasi Ilmu Manajemen Dan Ekonomi Syariah, 1(4), 290–298. https://doi.org/10.61132/nuansa.v1i4.422
Sadok, H., Sakka, F., & El Maknouzi, M. E. H. (2022). Artificial intelligence and bank credit analysis: A review. Cogent Economics & Finance, 10(1), 2023262. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.2023262
Sarstedt, M., Ringle, C. M., & Hair, J. F. (2021). Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling. In Handbook of Market Research (Issue July). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-05542-8
Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (2000). Behavioral Portfolio Theory. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 35(2), 127–151. https://doi.org/10.2307/2676187
Straub, D., Boudreau, M. C., & Gefen, D. (2004). Validation guidelines for IS positivist research. Communications of the Association for Information Systems, 13(1), 24. https://doi.org/10.17705/1cais.01324
Tanjung, S. A. (2023). Analisis Peran Lembaga Keuangan Mikro dalam Mendukung UMKM. Literacy Notes, 1(2), 1–11.
Thaler, R. H. (2005). Advances in behavioral finance, Volume II. Princeton University Press. https://doi.org/10.2307/2329257
Umeaduma, C. M. G., & Adedapo, I. A. (2025). AI-powered credit scoring models: ethical considerations, bias reduction, and financial inclusion strategies. Int J Res Publ Rev, 6(3), 6647-6661. https://doi.org/10.55248/gengpi.6.0325.12106
Usyk, V. (2020). Concept of Evaluation of Creditworthiness of Enterprises in Conditions of Economic Cycle. Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, 11(2), 120–132. https://doi.org/10.14505/tpref.v11.2(22).06
World Bank Group. (2022). World Bank Report 2022: Finance for an Equitable Recovery.
Zhang, Y., Huang, Q., & Zhao, K. (2019). Hybridizing association rules with adaptive weighted decision fusion for personal credit assessment. Systems Science & Control Engineering, 7(3), 135–142. https://doi.org/10.1080/21642583.2019.1694597