The Impact of International Trade on Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Econometric Analysis

  • Stephen Egoro A. Department of Finance and Accountancy, Niger Delta University, Bayelsa State, Nigeria
  • Obah Daddy Obah Department of Finance and Accountancy, Niger Delta University, Bayelsa State, Nigeria
Keywords: International Trade, Economic Growth, GDP, Non-Oil import, Oil Import, Non-oil export, oil Export, Analysis.

Abstract

The study examines the effect of international trade on the economic growth of Nigeria from 1981 to 2015. The model specified economic growth measured by gross domestic product as dependent on international trade proxy by non-oil imports, oil imports, Non-oil exports, and oil exports. Secondary data was adopted and sourced from CBN statistical bulletin. Multiple regression estimation techniques with the aid of E-view version 9 was used to analyze the effects of international trade on the economic growth of Nigeria. It was evidenced that international trade has a significant positive impact on economic growth in Nigeria. The study recommends that government should reduce over-dependence on oil exports and increase and diversify its export base to earn more revenue.

References

Abou-Stait, F. (2005): Are Exports the Engine of Economic Growth? An application of Cointegration and Causality Analysis for Egypt 1997-2003, African Development Bank, Economic Research working paper series, No. 76.

Abu Al- Foul, B. (2004): Testing the export-led Growth Hypothesis: Evidence from Jordan, Applied Economics Letters, No. 11, pp. 393-396.

Adak M. (2010): Foreign Trade and Economic Growth the Case of Turkey. Middle Eastern Finance and Economics. Issue 8, pp. 137-145.

Adeleye J. O. Adeteye O. S. & Adewuyi M. O. (2012): Impact of International Trade on Economic Growth in Nigeria (1988-2012), International Journal of Financial Research Vol. 6, No. 3

Adelowokan, O.A. & Maku, A.O. (2013): Trade Openness, Foreign Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Long-Run Analysis. Europe a Journal of Globalization and Development Research, Vol. 7, No. 1, 446-458

Adenugba, A.A. & Dipo, S.O. (2013): Non-Oil Exports in the Economic Growth of Nigeria: A Study of Agricultural and Mineral Resources. Journal of Educational and Social Research, Vol.3 (2)

Adewuyi, A. O. (2002): Balance of Payments Constraints and Growth Rate Differences under Alternative Police Regimes, Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER) Monograph Series No. 10 Ibadan, Nigeria.

Adewuyi, and Adeoye (2011): Attainment of Potential Growth Rates in Nigeria under Balance of Payments Constraints: Extent, Obstacle and the way forward. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting. Vol 2, No 2. www.iiste.org

Azeez, B. A., Dada, S. O, & aluko, O A. (2014): Effect of International Trade on Nigerian Economic Growth: the 21st Century Experience. International Journal of Economics, Commerce, and Management United Kingdom vol. I, issue 10.

Edoumiekumo, S.G. & Opukri, C.O. (2013): Economic Growth Factor in Nigeria: The Role of Global Trade. American Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, Vol. 1, No. 2, 51-55

Egwaikhide, (1991): “Economic Growth through Export Expansion: Evidence from Nigeria'. NISAR Monograph Series No 10, NISER, Ibadan.

Egwaikhide, F.O. (2000): “Determinants of imports in Nigeria: a dynamic Specification”, African Economic Research Consortium, NAIROBI

Emeka, E.J., Frederick, I. & Peter, A. (2012): Macroeconomic Impact of Trade on Nigerian Growth: An Empirical Evaluation. Research Journal of Business Management and Accounting, Vol. 1(4), 079-083

Ezra woke, K. E. & Imide, I. O. (2013): International Trade as an Engine of Growth in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Nigeria. An International Multidisciplinary Journal, Ethiopia Vol. 7 (3), Serial No. 30, June 2013:47-57

Javed, Z. H., Qaiser, I., Mushtaq, A., Sai-ullaha, Iqbal, A. (2012): Effects of International Trade on Economic Growth: The case study of Pakistan. International Journal of Academic Research in Progressive Education and Development. 1(2), 103-113.

Li, Y., Chen, Z. & San, C. (2010): Research on the Relationship between Foreign Trade and the GDP Growth of East China- Empirical Analysis Based on Causality. Modern Economy, Vol 1, 118-124

Nosakhare L. A., and Iyoha M. A. (2014): Foreign Trade-Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Nigeria CBN Journal of Applied Statistics Vol. 5 No.1

Ogbokor, C. A. (2005). Macroeconomic Impact of Trade on Namibian Growth: An Empirical Illustration. Journal of Social Sciences, 1(1), 57-60.

Ogbokor, (2001), ‘Oil and Economic Growth: An Econometric Analysis' Journal of Development Alternatives and Area Studies, 20: 124 – 130.

Ogborkor, C. A. (2001) Oil and Economic Growth: An Econometric Analysis. Journal of Development Alternatives and Area Studies, 20(2 & 3), 124-130.

Ohlin, B. (1933): Interregional and International Trade. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.

Olaleye, S. O., Edun, F., and Taiwo, S. B. (2013): Export Diversification and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Test of Relationship Using a Granger Casualty Test, Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 5(1):70-79

Orubu C. O. & P. O. Awopegba, (2004): “Market Economic, Globalization and the Role of Good Governance in the Development Process; Challenges for the Nigeria Economy ‘Journal of Social Sciences 9(3), (p) 163 – 17.

Oviemuno, A.O. (2003): ‘International Trade as an Engine of Growth in Developing Countries A case Study of Nigeria (1980- 2003)’, Search Warp Publication Vol. II No. 28.

Oyejide, T. A. (1974): Export and Economic Growth in African Countries: Economic International Journal, Vol 2, (p) 177-185.

Oyejide, T. A. (1974); Export and Economic Growth in African Countries: Economic International Journal, 2, 177-185.

Seipati M. & Itumeleng P. M. (2014): The Impact of International Trade on Economic Growth in South Africa: An Econometrics Analysis. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences MCSER Publishing, Rome-Italy, Vol 5 No 14

Sikiru O. A. & James O. A. (2014): Exploration of the impact of international trade on the Growth of Nigeria’s Manufacturing Sector: 1975-2010. Journal Of Business Administration And Management Sciences Research vol. 3(1), pp. 006-011

Sun, P. & Heshmati, A. (2012): International Trade and its Effect on Economic Growth in China. IZA Discussion Paper No. 5151, The Institute for the Study of Labour, Germany.

Tan, C. J. K. (2012): International Trade and Economic Growth: Evidence from Singapore. A paper Submitted in partial Fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of master’s of Arts in the graduate School of Arts and science, Columbia University.

Todaro, M.P. (2000): International Business: Environments and Operations. 9th ed. Prentice Hall

Usman Owolabi Akeem (2011): Performance Evaluation of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Nigeria, Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org

Published
2017-10-26
How to Cite
Egoro A., S., & Daddy Obah, O. (2017). The Impact of International Trade on Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Econometric Analysis. Asian Finance & Banking Review, 1(1), 28-47. https://doi.org/10.46281/asfbr.v1i1.3
Section
Original Articles/Short Communications